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Cheng, E W L and Li, H (2006) Job Performance Evaluation for Construction Companies: An Analytic Network Process Approach. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 827–35.

Cheung, S O, Yiu, T W and Yeung, S F (2006) A Study of Styles and Outcomes in Construction Dispute Negotiation. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 805–14.

Chung, T H, Mohamed, Y and AbouRizk, S (2006) Bayesian Updating Application into Simulation in the North Edmonton Sanitary Trunk Tunnel Project. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 882–94.

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords: Bayesian analysis; Simulation; Tunneling; Excavation;
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2006)132:8(882)
  • Abstract:
    Simulation models are built on assumptions, approximations, and estimates. Repetitive long-term projects such as tunnel construction provide opportunities to finetune approximations based on input from actual project progress. Bayesian updating techniques are an effective approach for improving the quality of simulation input and output based on what has already been observed. This paper presents a case study in which Bayesian techniques were applied to a simulation model of an actual tunnel project, the North Edmonton Sanitary Trunk. The study shows that using Bayesian techniques greatly improves the quality of projections. The novelty of this work includes the enhancement of the application of Bayesian updating techniques, the demonstration of simulation applications with a fully monitored tunneling project, and the demonstration of the extent of improvement to planning predictions from the use of actual data and the Bayesian updating techniques.

de la Cruz, M P, del Caño, A and de la Cruz, E (2006) Downside Risks in Construction Projects Developed by the Civil Service: The Case of Spain. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 844–52.

Iyer, K C and Jha, K N (2006) Critical Factors Affecting Schedule Performance: Evidence from Indian Construction Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 871–81.

JaÅ›kowski, P and Sobotka, A (2006) Scheduling Construction Projects Using Evolutionary Algorithm. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 861–70.

Kaiser, M J and Iledare, W O (2006) The Gulf of Mexico Decommissioning Market. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 815–26.

Perttula, P, Korhonen, P, Lehtelä, J, Rasa, P, Kitinoja, J, Mäkimattila, S and Leskinen, T (2006) Improving the Safety and Efficiency of Materials Transfer at a Construction Site by Using an Elevator. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 836–43.

Touran, A and Lopez, R (2006) Modeling Cost Escalation in Large Infrastructure Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 853–60.

Waara, F and Bröchner, J (2006) Price and Nonprice Criteria for Contractor Selection. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(08), 797–804.